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Weekly Watchlist & Market Update!

Will Powell Be Fired? Eyes On China!

China is under serious pressure—factories are shutting down, and Xi is now dealing with the consequences of both a harsh overreactive COVID response and the mounting impact of U.S. tariffs that are pushing companies out of the country. With public unrest rising and a recession looming, the economic outlook for China is deteriorating fast. The U.S. accounts for nearly a third of 

 

China’s GDP exposure, making this a critical tipping point.

This won’t be a smooth ride. There will be pain on both sides. Tariffs are proving effective against smaller nations, but China is a different beast—much larger, more economically entrenched, and far more impactful globally. At any point, the trade war could end abruptly—and likely will after hours or over a weekend, making it tough to position unless it happens during market hours. A timely Trump update on negotiations wouldn’t hurt either.

 

Expect violent swings—sharp rallies and deep pullbacks—through mid-May if a deal with China doesn’t materialize.

 

Trump vs. Powell: Round Two?

Trump is pulling every string he can to get Jerome Powell out. Powell made an unusual pre-election half-point rate cut—claiming it wasn’t politically motivated—despite having no data to justify the move. Then, once Trump won, rate cuts mysteriously came to a halt.

 

During Trump’s first term (2016–2020), we had the China trade war, a  resolution, and then the 2018 market crash—driven largely by Powell’s aggressive tightening. Now history might be repeating itself. Trump says he can and will remove Powell, but whether he actually pulls it off is another story.

ree

Small-Cap:


WATCH $WKSP TOMORROW PRE-MARKET & THROUGHOUT THE DAY! 

With this thing coming in at a 52 week low, and a 4.5M float, THIS COULD HAVE CRAZY ACTIVITY TOMORROW!


Worksport Ltd. ($WKSP) designs and manufactures innovative pickup truck accessories, including solar-powered tonneau covers and portable energy storage systems through its TerraVis™ brand.

 

  • Full Year 2024 Net Sales: $8.4 million, up 455% from $1.53 million in 2023.

 

  • Q4 2024 Net Sales: Approximately $2.93 million, a 250% increase from $839,000 in Q4 2023.

 

  • Gross Profit for 2024: Approximately $910,000, reflecting a gross margin of about 11%.

 

  • December 2024 Gross Margin: Exceeded 20%, nearly three times that of Q3 2024.

 

  • Working Capital (End of 2024): $7.3 million, up from $1.96 million at the end of 2023.

 

  • Inventory (End of 2024): $5.19 million, representing roughly 50% of current assets.

 

  • 2025 Revenue Guidance: $20 million to $34.5 million.

 

  • 2025 Gross Margin Target: Expected to reach 25% to 30% by late 2025.

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Large-Cap:


$SPY:

 

Crazy technicals right now, violent moves up and down on this chart. According to the technicals, we are going lower. I have not positioned any put plays though since I am unsure.

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$TTD:


Look at this RSI level, it is at all time lows. Same view as last week, I am very happy buying at these levels! I bought 100 shares and sold a $52.5 covered call on Thrs. 

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$NVDA:


With new regulations that hit, there is a roof on $NVDA and that roof in my view is around $112. Can we PLEASE get this gap filled? I would be ecstatic! Keep in mind, although we have bad news, May is one of $NVDA's strongest months historically.

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$UNH:


What an insane drop! PLEASE have $UNH on your watchlist for next week. Guidance came in rough, but I expect a bounce at some point. I bought a few shares and if we go lower will slowly add.

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Which way will the news go? Keep your eyes pealed on the main chat in the discord this weekend. If we are not in the discord, you can join below.


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